Free market report · Data to July 2026
Narrabri property market
Narrabri is one of the 453 council areas we track on the Momentum Dial, our property clock. This page is the plain-numbers read: where it sits in the cycle, who lives there, what's being built, and the suburbs inside it.
Narrabri is home to 12,797 people. On the Buyers First Momentum Dial its house market currently reads Slowing. The number that matters most here: 842 more residents are in work than five years ago, +12.9%. Jobs lead prices. Here's the rest of the picture, in plain numbers.
Houses · cycle position
Slowing
The Narrabri house market is still growing, but the pace has come off its fastest point. Slowing markets often keep rising for years, just less quickly.
-4% to +12%
Modelled 12-month price range
+0.8%
Modelled 12-month rent change
Units · cycle position
Not enough unit sales in Narrabri for a reliable cycle reading. That's common outside the cities, and honest beats guessed.
At a glance · houses
$572,397
Typical house, August 2026
+4.7% a year since 2010
+5.5%
Growth a year, last 10 years
+8.1% a year over the last 5
$475
Rent a week
4.3% gross yield
0 of 15
Years prices fell since 2010
Never a down year
The clock measures growth momentum, not price. Peak means growing fastest, not about to fall. Cycle data and projections sourced from HtAG Analytics. See Narrabri on the clock.
Free · One per person
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The full report is this data as a written document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside Narrabri, and the numbers that cut against the area. I write them by hand, so it comes from me rather than out of a system.
The numbers, explained
Narrabri in charts.
The typical house in Narrabri went from $267,688 in 2010 to $572,397 in August 2026. That is +114% in total, +4.7% a year. Not one full year going backwards since 2010. That is rare, and it is the kind of market you can hold through anything.
Houses · price change each year · 2011 to 2026
Prices in Narrabri have not had a down year since 2010
+114%
Since 2010
+5.5%
Per year, last 10 years
0 of 15
Years going backwards
+0.9%
Worst year (2016)
What this shows. How much the typical house price in Narrabri went up or down each year. Teal bars are up years, red bars are down years, and the faded bar is this year so far.
Why it matters. The size of a good year matters less than how many bad years there were and whether they came in a row. Boring? Absolutely. But the length of the down stretch is what decides whether you get out the other side. Typical price at December each year, data from HtAG Analytics.
You don't need to know property to read this. Every chart below opens with the point in one line, then says what it shows and why we care. Teal is a good sign, amber is okay, red means watch it.
The scorecard · 7 things we check
Narrabri scores 27 out of 35. Solid.
prices are still rising but more slowly
none in 15 years
0.2 new homes approved per 100 that exist
population shrinking 0.3% a year
3.2% unemployed, Australia 4.2%
a house costs 6.2 years of a local household's income
0.4% of rentals are empty, so about 1 in every 100
What this shows. Seven quick checks on Narrabri, each scored out of five. Five is the reading we most want to see.
Why it matters. No single number tells you whether an area is a good buy. Together they show whether the pieces line up. These are bands, not rules: a council outside a band can still be the right buy for the right person, and one inside every band can still be wrong for you.
House prices since 2010 · Narrabri vs the 5 most similar councils in NSW
Narrabri has grown more slowly than similar councils over ten years
+8.1% vs +9.1%
A year, last 5 years
+5.5% vs +7.2%
A year, last 10 years
+4.6% vs +5.9%
A year, last 15 years
What this shows. The typical house price in Narrabri every year, in teal, next to the middle of the five councils in NSW closest to it in size and starting price: Moree Plains, Cowra, Federation, Bellingen, Gunnedah. The small "vs" number in each tile is those councils.
Why it matters. Sometimes a slower market is catching up, sometimes it is being passed. The jobs and supply readings on this page tell you which.
Momentum · the last 36 months
Prices in Narrabri are picking up speed right now
$569,053
3-month price, August 2026
+3.2%
3-month price vs 12-month price
259 vs 348
Houses sold, last 12 months vs the 12 before
What this shows. Two versions of the same price. The dotted teal line averages the last three months, so it reacts fast. The grey line averages the last twelve, so it moves slowly. The bars are how many houses sold each month.
Why it matters. The last three months are running ahead of the last twelve. That is what speeding up looks like before it shows in the yearly number.
New homes · approvals as a share of all the homes here
Not many new homes are being built in Narrabri
What this shows. For every 100 homes already in Narrabri, how many new ones the council approved each year. The teal band is the range we call balanced.
Why it matters. Fewer new homes means the ones that exist stay in demand. It can also mean building here is hard or slow, which cuts the same way. The home count is the population divided by the average household size, so treat the rate as a guide rather than a census.
Affordability · house price in years of local household income
A house in Narrabri costs 6.2 years of a local family's income
What this shows. Take the typical house price and divide it by what a typical household here earns in a year. A bar of 7 means seven years of the whole household's income buys one house.
Why it matters. Stretched, which is where most of the country sits now. Growth from here leans on rising incomes and buyers coming in from outside the area. Income is the 2021 Census figure carried forward at 3.5% a year, so it is an estimate, not a measurement.
Rents · typical weekly house rent, last 36 months · and how many rentals sit empty
Rent in Narrabri is $475 a week, up 7.0% in a year
$475
A week, August 2026
+7.0%
Change in the last year
0.4%
Rentals sitting empty (tight)
What this shows. What a typical house in Narrabri rents for each week, month by month. The empty-rentals number is the share of rental homes with nobody in them: under 1.5% is tight, over 3% means tenants have plenty of choice.
Why it matters. Rents rising faster than inflation means more people want to live here than there are homes to rent. That pressure eventually shows up in prices.
Rental yield · a year of rent as a share of the price, Narrabri vs similar councils
Rent covers 4.3% of the price each year in Narrabri
What this shows. Yield is simple: a whole year of rent divided by the house price. A $500,000 house renting for $500 a week earns $26,000 a year, which is a 5.2% yield.
Why it matters. About the same as similar councils. Rent and price are in proportion. We don't buy on yield alone and we never set a yield cut-off; it is one piece of the picture, next to growth.
The people
Who lives in Narrabri.
The population has been shrinking, -0.3% a year over the last five years, and that is the single biggest caution flag in this report. The growth is mostly homegrown, births outrunning deaths, rather than people moving in. Softer as a demand signal. The median age is 40 and the median household brings in $1,498 a week (Census 2021). 64% of households own or are paying off their home. Owner-occupier markets like this tend to hold their nerve through the cycle, because nobody is forced to sell an address they live at.
Population · ABS estimates 2015 to 2025
Narrabri is losing people: 12,797 residents, -0.3% a year
12,797
People, 2025
-0.3% vs +0.6%
A year, last 5 years · typical NSW council
-0.5%
A year, last 10 years
Why it matters. A shrinking population is the single biggest caution flag in this report. Fewer people means fewer buyers and fewer tenants.
Where the growth came from · last 3 years
Growth in Narrabri is homegrown: births outran deaths by 148
Net change: +31 people over three years.
What this shows. Three ways a place gains or loses people: babies born minus people who died, people who moved here from another part of Australia, and people who arrived from overseas. Bars to the right add people, bars to the left take them away.
Why it matters. Births outrunning deaths is the softest kind of growth. It adds people, but it does not add new households straight away.
Age and households · Census 2021
Narrabri is about the same age as the typical NSW council: median age 40
Narrabri Typical NSW council (middle of 122)
Why it matters. A mixed-age area has demand for most housing types, which makes it easier to sell to whoever the next buyer is.
Income and who owns the homes · Census 2021
Most homes in Narrabri are owner-occupied: 64% own or are paying off, 29% rent
Own or paying off Renting Other
Why it matters. Owner-occupier markets hold their nerve through the cycle, because nobody is forced to sell the address they live at.
New supply
What's being approved to build.
13 dwellings were approved in FY26, 13 of them houses. Approvals have been roughly steady year to year. $8 million of non-residential building was approved in FY26, nearly all of it private. Within that, $20 million of education and health buildings have been approved across the last three financial years. Schools and hospitals are the most honest signal governments give about where they expect families.
Homes approved · ABS, by financial year
Not much new is being built in Narrabri: 13 homes approved in FY26
Houses Units, townhouses and other
13
Homes approved, FY26
100%
Of them houses
0.2%
New homes per 100 that exist
What this shows. How many new homes the council approved each financial year, split into houses and everything else. Approved is not built, but it is the earliest warning of supply on the way.
Why it matters. When little gets built, the homes already here do not have much competition. Good for prices, as long as people keep arriving.
Non-residential building approved · ABS
Government building spend in Narrabri has eased: $463k approved in FY26
Government projects All non-residential
$8m
All sectors, FY26
$463k
Government, FY26
$20m
Schools and health, last 3 years
What this shows. The dollar value of shops, offices, schools, hospitals and other non-home buildings approved each year. The darker bar is the government's share.
Why it matters. Governments build where they expect people. Schools and hospitals are the most honest signal they give about where families are heading. For the named projects behind these numbers, ask for the full report.
Jobs
Who's working in Narrabri.
Work here runs on agriculture (18% of jobs), ahead of health care and social assistance and mining. 842 more residents are in work than five years ago (+12.9%). That is strong jobs growth, and it usually shows up in housing demand with a lag. Unemployment sits at 3.2%, comfortably under the national 4.2%.
Jobs · SALM, March 2026
842 more people in Narrabri have a job than five years ago
7,383
Residents in work
3.2% vs 4.2%
Unemployed · Australia
+12.9%
Jobs change, 5 years
Narrabri Australia
Why it matters. Strong jobs growth shows up in housing demand with a lag. People get the job first and buy the house a year or two later.
Who employs people here · Census 2021
Agriculture is the biggest employer in Narrabri, 18% of jobs
What this shows. The five industries that employ the most residents, as a share of all jobs. The pill is the ABS advantage score: Narrabri sits in decile 4 of 10 nationally, where 10 is the most advantaged.
Why it matters. A spread of employers means no single closure can empty the town. That is the kind of job base that holds house prices through a downturn.
The outlook
Is Narrabri worth buying into?
Put the drivers together and the case for Narrabri is: a job base that has expanded, new supply thinning out. Against that, weigh a shrinking population. None of this guarantees anything. It tells you where to look harder, which is what a report like this is for.
Free · Written by hand · One per person
This page is the public data. The full report is that written up as a document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside Narrabri. One per person.
Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.
Inside the LGA
The suburbs of Narrabri.
Next step. See what's for sale in Narrabri on realestate.com.au or Domain. Then send me the address before you make an offer. That is the part the data cannot do.
All 30 suburbs and localities in Narrabri
Baan Baa · Bellata · Boggabri · Bohena Creek · Boolcarroll · Bullawa Creek · Bulyeroi · Couradda · Cuttabri · Drildool · Edgeroi · Eulah Creek · Gwabegar · Harparary · Jacks Creek · Jews Lagoon · Kaputar · Maules Creek · Merah North · Millie · Narrabri · Nowley · Pilliga · Spring Plains · Tarriaro · The Pilliga · Turrawan · Wean · Wee Waa · Yarrie Lake
Free · Written by hand · One per person
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This page is the public data. The full report is the written workup: current price, rent, gross yield and vacancy, growth over 1, 3, 5 and 10 years, days on market and demand, and the supply coming down the pipe, for Narrabri or any suburb in it. Same data we run for clients. I pull it and email it through, usually within a business day. One per person, no charge, and no 14-part email sequence afterwards. All I ask is that if it lands, you take the fifteen minute call at the end of it.
Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.
Keep comparing
Markets of a similar size in NSW.
A council only makes sense in context. These are the NSW markets closest to Narrabri in population, each with its own written report.
General information only, not financial or investment advice. Cycle positions and projections are modelled LGA-level figures to July 2026, sourced from HtAG Analytics. Population and approvals are ABS estimates; employment is SALM smoothed data; income, age and tenure are Census 2021. None of it can see street quality, flood maps, zoning or the contract, which is where deals are actually won and lost. Get advice on your own situation before acting.
Data finds the area. It doesn't buy the house.
We narrow 15,000 suburbs to the top 5 for each client, then find the street and the property. If Narrabri is on your list, that's a conversation worth having early.