Free market report · Data to July 2026

Bellingen property market

Bellingen is one of the 453 council areas we track on the Momentum Dial, our property clock. This page is the plain-numbers read: where it sits in the cycle, who lives there, what's being built, and the suburbs inside it.

Bellingen is home to 13,348 people. On the Buyers First Momentum Dial its house market currently reads at Peak. The number that matters most here: 560 more residents are in work than five years ago, +11.1%. Jobs lead prices. Here's the rest of the picture, in plain numbers.

Houses · cycle position

Peak

The Bellingen house market is growing at its fastest pace in the current cycle. That is a momentum reading, not a crash call: markets can sit at peak growth for a long time before easing.

-8% to +15%

Modelled 12-month price range

+2.2%

Modelled 12-month rent change

Units · cycle position

Not enough unit sales in Bellingen for a reliable cycle reading. That's common outside the cities, and honest beats guessed.

At a glance · houses

$1,022,897

Typical house, August 2026

+6.2% a year since 2010

+7.4%

Growth a year, last 10 years

+2.4% a year over the last 5

$616

Rent a week

3.1% gross yield

2 of 15

Years prices fell since 2010

Worst: 2023, -3%

The clock measures growth momentum, not price. Peak means growing fastest, not about to fall. Cycle data and projections sourced from HtAG Analytics. See Bellingen on the clock.

Free · One per person

Want all of this written up for Bellingen?

The full report is this data as a written document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside Bellingen, and the numbers that cut against the area. I write them by hand, so it comes from me rather than out of a system.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

The numbers, explained

Bellingen in charts.

The typical house in Bellingen went from $376,981 in 2010 to $1,022,897 in August 2026. That is +171% in total, +6.2% a year. 2 down years out of 15, never more than 2 in a row. Cycles, not collapses.

Houses · price change each year · 2011 to 2026

Prices in Bellingen fell in 2 of the last 15 years

Okay
'11 '12 '13 '14 2015 '16 '17 '18 '19 2020 20.2% '21 -0.0% '22 -2.9% '23 '24 2025 4.1% '26 ytd

+171%

Since 2010

+7.4%

Per year, last 10 years

2 of 15

Years going backwards

-2.9%

Worst year (2023)

What this shows. How much the typical house price in Bellingen went up or down each year. Teal bars are up years, red bars are down years, and the faded bar is this year so far.

Why it matters. The size of a good year matters less than how many bad years there were and whether they came in a row. Boring? Absolutely. But the length of the down stretch is what decides whether you get out the other side. Typical price at December each year, data from HtAG Analytics.

You don't need to know property to read this. Every chart below opens with the point in one line, then says what it shows and why we care. Teal is a good sign, amber is okay, red means watch it.

The scorecard · 7 things we check

Bellingen scores 21 out of 35. Mixed.

Okay
Cycle 2Down years 3Supply 5People 2Jobs 3Affordability 1Rentals 5 5 = best
Where it is in the cycle

prices are rising as fast as they will this cycle, so the easy money has been made

Years prices fell since 2010

2 of 15 years

New homes being built

0.7 new homes approved per 100 that exist

People moving in

population growing 0.3% a year

Jobs

4.6% unemployed, Australia 4.2%

Can locals afford it

a house costs 13.8 years of a local household's income

Empty rentals

0.7% of rentals are empty, so about 1 in every 100

What this shows. Seven quick checks on Bellingen, each scored out of five. Five is the reading we most want to see.

Why it matters. No single number tells you whether an area is a good buy. Together they show whether the pieces line up. These are bands, not rules: a council outside a band can still be the right buy for the right person, and one inside every band can still be wrong for you.

House prices since 2010 · Bellingen vs the 5 most similar councils in NSW

Bellingen has outgrown similar councils over ten years

Good sign
$265k $530k $796k $1.06m Bellingen $982k 20102012201420162018202020222024
BellingenSimilar councils (middle of 5)

+2.4% vs +8.7%

A year, last 5 years

+7.4% vs +6.0%

A year, last 10 years

+6.5% vs +5.6%

A year, last 15 years

What this shows. The typical house price in Bellingen every year, in teal, next to the middle of the five councils in NSW closest to it in size and starting price: Federation, Gunnedah, Moree Plains, Cabonne, Narrabri. The small "vs" number in each tile is those councils.

Why it matters. Beating its peers over a whole decade is worth more than any single hot year. It usually means something real is pulling people here.

Momentum · the last 36 months

Prices in Bellingen are picking up speed right now

Good sign
$903k $976k $1.05m 0 32 sold September '23March '24September '24March '25September '25March '26
Last 3 months' priceLast 12 months' priceHouses sold each month

$1,019,361

3-month price, August 2026

+2.3%

3-month price vs 12-month price

248 vs 264

Houses sold, last 12 months vs the 12 before

What this shows. Two versions of the same price. The dotted teal line averages the last three months, so it reacts fast. The grey line averages the last twelve, so it moves slowly. The bars are how many houses sold each month.

Why it matters. The last three months are running ahead of the last twelve. That is what speeding up looks like before it shows in the yearly number.

New homes · approvals as a share of all the homes here

Not many new homes are being built in Bellingen

Good sign
balanced · 1.5% to 3% a year above this, a lot of building 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 1.3% FY24 · 78 approved 0.8% FY25 · 46 approved 0.7% FY26 · 40 approved · now

What this shows. For every 100 homes already in Bellingen, how many new ones the council approved each year. The teal band is the range we call balanced.

Why it matters. Fewer new homes means the ones that exist stay in demand. It can also mean building here is hard or slow, which cuts the same way. The home count is the population divided by the average household size, so treat the rate as a guide rather than a census.

Affordability · house price in years of local household income

A house in Bellingen costs 13.8 years of a local family's income

Watch this
expensive · over 8 years stretched · 6 to 8 years affordable · under 6 years 9.7 2016 9.8 2017 10.4 2018 11.5 2019 13.3 2020 15.5 2021 15.0 2022 14.0 2023 13.7 2024 13.8 2025 13.8 2026 so far

What this shows. Take the typical house price and divide it by what a typical household here earns in a year. A bar of 7 means seven years of the whole household's income buys one house.

Why it matters. Expensive for the people who live here. Prices at this level need outside buyers to keep moving, and outside buyers are the first to leave when things wobble. Income is the 2021 Census figure carried forward at 3.5% a year, so it is an estimate, not a measurement.

Rents · typical weekly house rent, last 36 months · and how many rentals sit empty

Rent in Bellingen is $616 a week, up 1.3% in a year

Okay
$493 $573 $653 $616 a week now September '23March '24September '24March '25September '25March '26

$616

A week, August 2026

+1.3%

Change in the last year

0.7%

Rentals sitting empty (tight)

What this shows. What a typical house in Bellingen rents for each week, month by month. The empty-rentals number is the share of rental homes with nobody in them: under 1.5% is tight, over 3% means tenants have plenty of choice.

Why it matters. Rents are moving with inflation. Steady rather than tight.

Rental yield · a year of rent as a share of the price, Bellingen vs similar councils

Rent covers 3.1% of the price each year in Bellingen

2.2% 3.8% 5.4% 202120232025
BellingenSimilar councils

What this shows. Yield is simple: a whole year of rent divided by the house price. A $500,000 house renting for $500 a week earns $26,000 a year, which is a 5.2% yield.

Why it matters. Lower than similar councils, which are around 4.4%. Prices have run ahead of rents, so you are paying more of the loan yourself while you wait for growth. We don't buy on yield alone and we never set a yield cut-off; it is one piece of the picture, next to growth.

The people

Who lives in Bellingen.

Population growth has been close to flat over the last five years, +0.3% a year. Interesting mix underneath: locals have been leaving on net (-47 over three years) while overseas migration more than filled the gap (165). Worth understanding who is arriving and what housing they need. The median age is 50 and the median household brings in $1,197 a week (Census 2021). 75% of households own or are paying off their home. Owner-occupier markets like this tend to hold their nerve through the cycle, because nobody is forced to sell an address they live at.

Population · ABS estimates 2015 to 2025

Bellingen has stopped growing: 13,348 people, +0.3% a year

Watch this
12,936 13,348 201520202025

13,348

People, 2025

+0.3% vs +0.6%

A year, last 5 years · typical NSW council

+0.3%

A year, last 10 years

Why it matters. With few new arrivals, demand here comes from locals moving house, not from growth. Prices can still rise, but they lean on other drivers.

Where the growth came from · last 3 years

Overseas arrivals are doing the heavy lifting in Bellingen: 165 in three years

Okay
Births minus deaths
-73
Moved from elsewhere in Australia
-47
Moved from overseas
+165

Net change: +45 people over three years.

What this shows. Three ways a place gains or loses people: babies born minus people who died, people who moved here from another part of Australia, and people who arrived from overseas. Bars to the right add people, bars to the left take them away.

Why it matters. Overseas arrivals usually rent first, so this kind of growth shows up in rents before it shows up in prices.

Age and households · Census 2021

Bellingen is older than the typical NSW council: median age 50 vs 42

Older
Median age 50 vs 42
People per household 2.3 vs 2.4

Bellingen Typical NSW council (middle of 122)

Why it matters. An older area leans on retirees and downsizers. Single-level homes near health services do best, and turnover tends to be lower.

Income and who owns the homes · Census 2021

Most homes in Bellingen are owner-occupied: 75% own or are paying off, 22% rent

Owner market
Household income a week $1,197 -19% vs typical
Who lives in the homes 75% own · 22% rent

Own or paying off Renting Other

Why it matters. Owner-occupier markets hold their nerve through the cycle, because nobody is forced to sell the address they live at.

New supply

What's being approved to build.

40 dwellings were approved in FY26, 36 of them houses. Approvals are trending down. If demand holds, thinning supply is how pressure builds under prices and rents. $2 million of non-residential building was approved in FY26, nearly all of it private.

Homes approved · ABS, by financial year

Not much new is being built in Bellingen: 40 homes approved in FY26

Good sign
FY24
78
FY25
46
FY26
40

Houses Units, townhouses and other

40

Homes approved, FY26

90%

Of them houses

0.7%

New homes per 100 that exist

What this shows. How many new homes the council approved each financial year, split into houses and everything else. Approved is not built, but it is the earliest warning of supply on the way.

Why it matters. When little gets built, the homes already here do not have much competition. Good for prices, as long as people keep arriving.

Non-residential building approved · ABS

Government building spend in Bellingen has eased: $0k approved in FY26

Okay
FY24
$3m
FY25
$8m
FY26
$2m

Government projects All non-residential

$2m

All sectors, FY26

$0k

Government, FY26

$2m

Schools and health, last 3 years

What this shows. The dollar value of shops, offices, schools, hospitals and other non-home buildings approved each year. The darker bar is the government's share.

Why it matters. Governments build where they expect people. Schools and hospitals are the most honest signal they give about where families are heading. For the named projects behind these numbers, ask for the full report.

Jobs

Who's working in Bellingen.

Work here runs on health care and social assistance (18% of jobs), ahead of education and training and construction. 560 more residents are in work than five years ago (+11.1%). That is strong jobs growth, and it usually shows up in housing demand with a lag. Unemployment tracks close to the national average at 4.6%.

Jobs · SALM, March 2026

560 more people in Bellingen have a job than five years ago

Good sign

5,587

Residents in work

4.6% vs 4.2%

Unemployed · Australia

+11.1%

Jobs change, 5 years

Unemployment rate 4.6% vs 3.4% typical NSW council

Bellingen Australia

Why it matters. Strong jobs growth shows up in housing demand with a lag. People get the job first and buy the house a year or two later.

Who employs people here · Census 2021

Health care and social assistance is the biggest employer in Bellingen, 18% of jobs

Advantage 6 of 10
Health care and social assistance
18%
Education and training
12%
Construction
9%
Retail trade
9%
Hospitality
8%

What this shows. The five industries that employ the most residents, as a share of all jobs. The pill is the ABS advantage score: Bellingen sits in decile 6 of 10 nationally, where 10 is the most advantaged.

Why it matters. A spread of employers means no single closure can empty the town. That is the kind of job base that holds house prices through a downturn.

The outlook

Is Bellingen worth buying into?

Put the drivers together and the case for Bellingen is: a job base that has expanded, new supply thinning out. None of this guarantees anything. It tells you where to look harder, which is what a report like this is for.

Free · Written by hand · One per person

This page is the public data. The full report is that written up as a document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside Bellingen. One per person.

Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

Inside the LGA

The suburbs of Bellingen.

Next step. See what's for sale in Bellingen on realestate.com.au or Domain. Then send me the address before you make an offer. That is the part the data cannot do.

All 26 suburbs and localities in Bellingen

Bellingen · Bielsdown Hills · Bostobrick · Brierfield · Cascade · Darkwood · Deer Vale · Dorrigo · Dorrigo Mountain · Fernbrook · Fernmount · Gleniffer · Hydes Creek · Kalang · Kennaicle Creek · Megan · Mylestom · Never Never · North Dorrigo · Raleigh · Repton · Spicketts Creek · Tallowwood Ridge · Thora · Urunga · Valery

Free · Written by hand · One per person

Want the full workup on Bellingen?

This page is the public data. The full report is the written workup: current price, rent, gross yield and vacancy, growth over 1, 3, 5 and 10 years, days on market and demand, and the supply coming down the pipe, for Bellingen or any suburb in it. Same data we run for clients. I pull it and email it through, usually within a business day. One per person, no charge, and no 14-part email sequence afterwards. All I ask is that if it lands, you take the fifteen minute call at the end of it.

Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

Keep comparing

Markets of a similar size in NSW.

A council only makes sense in context. These are the NSW markets closest to Bellingen in population, each with its own written report.

General information only, not financial or investment advice. Cycle positions and projections are modelled LGA-level figures to July 2026, sourced from HtAG Analytics. Population and approvals are ABS estimates; employment is SALM smoothed data; income, age and tenure are Census 2021. None of it can see street quality, flood maps, zoning or the contract, which is where deals are actually won and lost. Get advice on your own situation before acting.

Data finds the area. It doesn't buy the house.

We narrow 15,000 suburbs to the top 5 for each client, then find the street and the property. If Bellingen is on your list, that's a conversation worth having early.

Book my free call Back to the clock
Send me the full report