Free market report · Data to July 2026

Greater Dandenong property market

Greater Dandenong is one of the 453 council areas we track on the Momentum Dial, our property clock. This page is the plain-numbers read: where it sits in the cycle, who lives there, what's being built, and the suburbs inside it.

Greater Dandenong is home to 168,684 people. On the Buyers First Momentum Dial its house market currently reads at Peak, and units read the same. The number that matters most here: 10,257 more residents are in work than five years ago, +14.4%. Jobs lead prices. Here's the rest of the picture, in plain numbers.

Houses · cycle position

Peak

The Greater Dandenong house market is growing at its fastest pace in the current cycle. That is a momentum reading, not a crash call: markets can sit at peak growth for a long time before easing.

-3% to +11%

Modelled 12-month price range

+4.1%

Modelled 12-month rent change

Units · cycle position

Peak

The unit market is growing at its fastest pace in the current cycle. That is a momentum reading, not a crash call: markets can sit at peak growth for a long time before easing.

0% to +8%

Modelled 12-month price range

+2.5%

Modelled 12-month rent change

At a glance · houses

$983,715

Typical house, August 2026

+5.4% a year since 2010

+3.9%

Growth a year, last 10 years

+3.2% a year over the last 5

$607

Rent a week

3.2% gross yield

4 of 15

Years prices fell since 2010

Worst: 2012, -2%

The clock measures growth momentum, not price. Peak means growing fastest, not about to fall. Cycle data and projections sourced from HtAG Analytics. See Greater Dandenong on the clock.

Free · One per person

Want all of this written up for Greater Dandenong?

The full report is this data as a written document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside Greater Dandenong, and the numbers that cut against the area. I write them by hand, so it comes from me rather than out of a system.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

The numbers, explained

Greater Dandenong in charts.

The typical house in Greater Dandenong went from $413,639 in 2010 to $983,715 in August 2026. That is +138% in total, +5.4% a year. 4 down years out of 15, never more than 2 in a row. Cycles, not collapses.

Houses · price change each year · 2011 to 2026

Prices in Greater Dandenong fell in 4 of the last 15 years

Okay
'11 -2.2% '12 '13 '14 19.8% 2015 '16 '17 -2.0% '18 -1.2% '19 2020 '21 '22 -0.1% '23 '24 2025 3.8% '26 ytd

+138%

Since 2010

+3.9%

Per year, last 10 years

4 of 15

Years going backwards

-2.2%

Worst year (2012)

What this shows. How much the typical house price in Greater Dandenong went up or down each year. Teal bars are up years, red bars are down years, and the faded bar is this year so far.

Why it matters. The size of a good year matters less than how many bad years there were and whether they came in a row. Boring? Absolutely. But the length of the down stretch is what decides whether you get out the other side. Typical price at December each year, data from HtAG Analytics.

You don't need to know property to read this. Every chart below opens with the point in one line, then says what it shows and why we care. Teal is a good sign, amber is okay, red means watch it.

The scorecard · 7 things we check

Greater Dandenong scores 16 out of 35. Weak.

Watch this
Cycle 2Down years 2Supply 4People 2Jobs 1Affordability 1Rentals 4 5 = best
Where it is in the cycle

prices are rising as fast as they will this cycle, so the easy money has been made

Years prices fell since 2010

4 of 15 years

New homes being built

1.1 new homes approved per 100 that exist

People moving in

population growing 0.4% a year

Jobs

7.5% unemployed, Australia 4.2%

Can locals afford it

a house costs 11.0 years of a local household's income

Empty rentals

1.1% of rentals are empty, so about 1 in every 100

What this shows. Seven quick checks on Greater Dandenong, each scored out of five. Five is the reading we most want to see.

Why it matters. No single number tells you whether an area is a good buy. Together they show whether the pieces line up. These are bands, not rules: a council outside a band can still be the right buy for the right person, and one inside every band can still be wrong for you.

House prices since 2010 · Greater Dandenong vs the 5 most similar councils in VIC

Greater Dandenong has grown more slowly than similar councils over ten years

Watch this
$334k $668k $1.00m $1.34m Greater Dandenong $948k 20102012201420162018202020222024
Greater DandenongSimilar councils (middle of 5)

+3.2% vs +2.2%

A year, last 5 years

+3.9% vs +5.5%

A year, last 10 years

+5.2% vs +4.9%

A year, last 15 years

What this shows. The typical house price in Greater Dandenong every year, in teal, next to the middle of the five councils in VIC closest to it in size and starting price: Kingston, Mornington Peninsula, Knox, Darebin, Yarra Ranges. The small "vs" number in each tile is those councils.

Why it matters. Sometimes a slower market is catching up, sometimes it is being passed. The jobs and supply readings on this page tell you which.

Momentum · the last 36 months

Prices in Greater Dandenong are picking up speed right now

Good sign
$853k $931k $1.01m 0 210 sold September '23March '24September '24March '25September '25March '26
Last 3 months' priceLast 12 months' priceHouses sold each month

$980,317

3-month price, August 2026

+2.1%

3-month price vs 12-month price

1,417 vs 1,723

Houses sold, last 12 months vs the 12 before

What this shows. Two versions of the same price. The dotted teal line averages the last three months, so it reacts fast. The grey line averages the last twelve, so it moves slowly. The bars are how many houses sold each month.

Why it matters. The last three months are running ahead of the last twelve. That is what speeding up looks like before it shows in the yearly number.

New homes · approvals as a share of all the homes here

Not many new homes are being built in Greater Dandenong

Good sign
balanced · 1.5% to 3% a year above this, a lot of building 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 0.8% FY24 · 437 approved 0.8% FY25 · 489 approved 1.1% FY26 · 621 approved · now

What this shows. For every 100 homes already in Greater Dandenong, how many new ones the council approved each year. The teal band is the range we call balanced.

Why it matters. Fewer new homes means the ones that exist stay in demand. It can also mean building here is hard or slow, which cuts the same way. The home count is the population divided by the average household size, so treat the rate as a guide rather than a census.

Affordability · house price in years of local household income

A house in Greater Dandenong costs 11.0 years of a local family's income

Watch this
expensive · over 8 years stretched · 6 to 8 years affordable · under 6 years 11.1 2016 11.3 2017 10.7 2018 10.3 2019 10.9 2020 11.4 2021 11.3 2022 10.9 2023 10.7 2024 10.9 2025 11.0 2026 so far

What this shows. Take the typical house price and divide it by what a typical household here earns in a year. A bar of 7 means seven years of the whole household's income buys one house.

Why it matters. Expensive for the people who live here. Prices at this level need outside buyers to keep moving, and outside buyers are the first to leave when things wobble. Income is the 2021 Census figure carried forward at 3.5% a year, so it is an estimate, not a measurement.

Rents · typical weekly house rent, last 36 months · and how many rentals sit empty

Rent in Greater Dandenong is $607 a week, up 6.5% in a year

Good sign
$410 $527 $643 $607 a week now September '23March '24September '24March '25September '25March '26

$607

A week, August 2026

+6.5%

Change in the last year

1.1%

Rentals sitting empty (tight)

What this shows. What a typical house in Greater Dandenong rents for each week, month by month. The empty-rentals number is the share of rental homes with nobody in them: under 1.5% is tight, over 3% means tenants have plenty of choice.

Why it matters. Rents rising faster than inflation means more people want to live here than there are homes to rent. That pressure eventually shows up in prices.

Rental yield · a year of rent as a share of the price, Greater Dandenong vs similar councils

Rent covers 3.2% of the price each year in Greater Dandenong

1.9% 2.8% 3.7% 202120232025
Greater DandenongSimilar councils

What this shows. Yield is simple: a whole year of rent divided by the house price. A $500,000 house renting for $500 a week earns $26,000 a year, which is a 5.2% yield.

Why it matters. About the same as similar councils. Rent and price are in proportion. We don't buy on yield alone and we never set a yield cut-off; it is one piece of the picture, next to growth.

The people

Who lives in Greater Dandenong.

Population growth has been close to flat over the last five years, +0.4% a year. Interesting mix underneath: locals have been leaving on net (-8,916 over three years) while overseas migration more than filled the gap (15,942). Worth understanding who is arriving and what housing they need. The median age is 36 and the median household brings in $1,453 a week (Census 2021). 35% of households rent, a deep tenant pool if you're buying to hold, and more investor competition when stock is tight.

Population · ABS estimates 2015 to 2025

Greater Dandenong has stopped growing: 168,684 people, +0.4% a year

Watch this
156,061 168,684 201520202025

168,684

People, 2025

+0.4% vs +0.6%

A year, last 5 years · typical VIC council

+0.8%

A year, last 10 years

Why it matters. With few new arrivals, demand here comes from locals moving house, not from growth. Prices can still rise, but they lean on other drivers.

Where the growth came from · last 3 years

Overseas arrivals are doing the heavy lifting in Greater Dandenong: 15,942 in three years

Okay
Births minus deaths
+2,639
Moved from elsewhere in Australia
-8,916
Moved from overseas
+15,942

Net change: +9,665 people over three years.

What this shows. Three ways a place gains or loses people: babies born minus people who died, people who moved here from another part of Australia, and people who arrived from overseas. Bars to the right add people, bars to the left take them away.

Why it matters. Overseas arrivals usually rent first, so this kind of growth shows up in rents before it shows up in prices.

Age and households · Census 2021

Greater Dandenong is younger than the typical VIC council: median age 36 vs 42

Younger
Median age 36 vs 42
People per household 2.9 vs 2.4

Greater Dandenong Typical VIC council (middle of 78)

Why it matters. A younger area means first-home buyers, growing families and renters. Three-bedroom houses near schools and jobs are the bread and butter.

Income and who owns the homes · Census 2021

Greater Dandenong is a renters' market: 35% of homes are rented, vs 21% in the typical VIC council

Deep rental pool
Household income a week $1,453 -3% vs typical
Who lives in the homes 61% own · 35% rent

Own or paying off Renting Other

Why it matters. Lots of renters means a deep tenant pool if you are buying to hold, and more investor competition when stock is tight.

New supply

What's being approved to build.

621 dwellings were approved in FY26, 203 of them houses. Approvals are clearly trending up, so more supply is coming. Whether that's a problem depends on whether the population keeps outrunning it. On the non-residential side, $374 million of building was approved in FY26, $27 million of it public money. Governments build where they expect people. Within that, $132 million of education and health buildings have been approved across the last three financial years. Schools and hospitals are the most honest signal governments give about where they expect families.

Homes approved · ABS, by financial year

Not much new is being built in Greater Dandenong: 621 homes approved in FY26

Good sign
FY24
437
FY25
489
FY26
621

Houses Units, townhouses and other

621

Homes approved, FY26

33%

Of them houses

1.1%

New homes per 100 that exist

What this shows. How many new homes the council approved each financial year, split into houses and everything else. Approved is not built, but it is the earliest warning of supply on the way.

Why it matters. When little gets built, the homes already here do not have much competition. Good for prices, as long as people keep arriving.

Non-residential building approved · ABS

Government building spend in Greater Dandenong has eased: $27m approved in FY26

Okay
FY24
$360m
FY25
$606m
FY26
$374m

Government projects All non-residential

$374m

All sectors, FY26

$27m

Government, FY26

$132m

Schools and health, last 3 years

What this shows. The dollar value of shops, offices, schools, hospitals and other non-home buildings approved each year. The darker bar is the government's share.

Why it matters. Governments build where they expect people. Schools and hospitals are the most honest signal they give about where families are heading. For the named projects behind these numbers, ask for the full report.

Jobs

Who's working in Greater Dandenong.

Work here runs on manufacturing (15% of jobs), ahead of health care and social assistance and retail trade. 10,257 more residents are in work than five years ago (+14.4%). That is strong jobs growth, and it usually shows up in housing demand with a lag. Unemployment is 7.5% against a national 4.2%, which is a real gap, not noise. On the ABS advantage index it ranks in the bottom 30% nationally. That usually means better yields, and it means doing your homework street by street.

Jobs · SALM, March 2026

10,257 more people in Greater Dandenong have a job than five years ago

Good sign

81,642

Residents in work

7.5% vs 4.2%

Unemployed · Australia

+14.4%

Jobs change, 5 years

Unemployment rate 7.5% vs 3.7% typical VIC council

Greater Dandenong Australia

Why it matters. Strong jobs growth shows up in housing demand with a lag. People get the job first and buy the house a year or two later.

Who employs people here · Census 2021

Manufacturing is the biggest employer in Greater Dandenong, 15% of jobs

Advantage 3 of 10
Manufacturing
15%
Health care and social assistance
13%
Retail trade
10%
Construction
8%
Hospitality
7%

What this shows. The five industries that employ the most residents, as a share of all jobs. The pill is the ABS advantage score: Greater Dandenong sits in decile 3 of 10 nationally, where 10 is the most advantaged.

Why it matters. A spread of employers means no single closure can empty the town. That is the kind of job base that holds house prices through a downturn.

The outlook

Is Greater Dandenong worth buying into?

The strongest thing the data says for Greater Dandenong is a job base that has expanded. None of this guarantees anything. It tells you where to look harder, which is what a report like this is for.

Free · Written by hand · One per person

This page is the public data. The full report is that written up as a document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside Greater Dandenong. One per person.

Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

Inside the LGA

The suburbs of Greater Dandenong.

Next step. See what's for sale in Dandenong on realestate.com.au or Domain. Then send me the address before you make an offer. That is the part the data cannot do.

All 9 suburbs and localities in Greater Dandenong

Bangholme · Dandenong · Dandenong North · Dandenong South · Keysborough · Noble Park · Noble Park North · Springvale · Springvale South

Free · Written by hand · One per person

Want the full workup on Greater Dandenong?

This page is the public data. The full report is the written workup: current price, rent, gross yield and vacancy, growth over 1, 3, 5 and 10 years, days on market and demand, and the supply coming down the pipe, for Greater Dandenong or any suburb in it. Same data we run for clients. I pull it and email it through, usually within a business day. One per person, no charge, and no 14-part email sequence afterwards. All I ask is that if it lands, you take the fifteen minute call at the end of it.

Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

Keep comparing

Markets of a similar size in VIC.

A council only makes sense in context. These are the VIC markets closest to Greater Dandenong in population, each with its own written report.

General information only, not financial or investment advice. Cycle positions and projections are modelled LGA-level figures to July 2026, sourced from HtAG Analytics. Population and approvals are ABS estimates; employment is SALM smoothed data; income, age and tenure are Census 2021. None of it can see street quality, flood maps, zoning or the contract, which is where deals are actually won and lost. Get advice on your own situation before acting.

Data finds the area. It doesn't buy the house.

We narrow 15,000 suburbs to the top 5 for each client, then find the street and the property. If Greater Dandenong is on your list, that's a conversation worth having early.

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