Free market report · Data to July 2026

Palmerston property market

Palmerston is one of the 453 council areas we track on the Momentum Dial, our property clock. This page is the plain-numbers read: where it sits in the cycle, who lives there, what's being built, and the suburbs inside it.

Palmerston is home to 43,193 people. On the Buyers First Momentum Dial its house market currently reads at Peak, while units read Slowing. Same council, different clocks, which is exactly why we track them separately. The number that matters most here: population is compounding at +2.1% a year. People arriving is the rawest form of housing demand. Here's the rest of the picture, in plain numbers.

Houses · cycle position

Peak

The Palmerston house market is growing at its fastest pace in the current cycle. That is a momentum reading, not a crash call: markets can sit at peak growth for a long time before easing.

+3% to +11%

Modelled 12-month price range

+4.0%

Modelled 12-month rent change

Units · cycle position

Slowing

The unit market is still growing, but the pace has come off its fastest point. Slowing markets often keep rising for years, just less quickly.

-4% to +13%

Modelled 12-month price range

+3.3%

Modelled 12-month rent change

At a glance · houses

$778,347

Typical house, August 2026

+3.6% a year since 2010

+6.3%

Growth a year, last 10 years

+8.5% a year over the last 5

$682

Rent a week

4.6% gross yield

6 of 15

Years prices fell since 2010

Worst: 2016, -4%

The clock measures growth momentum, not price. Peak means growing fastest, not about to fall. Cycle data and projections sourced from HtAG Analytics. See Palmerston on the clock.

Free · One per person

Want all of this written up for Palmerston?

The full report is this data as a written document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside Palmerston, and the numbers that cut against the area. I write them by hand, so it comes from me rather than out of a system.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

The numbers, explained

Palmerston in charts.

The typical house in Palmerston went from $429,725 in 2010 to $778,347 in August 2026. That is +81% in total, +3.6% a year. It went backwards 6 years in a row at one point. Any market can have a bad year. The ones that stack them are the ones that hurt, and this is the number we weigh most.

Houses · price change each year · 2011 to 2026

Prices in Palmerston fell in 6 of the last 15 years

Watch this
'11 '12 -1.6% '13 -3.5% '14 -3.2% 2015 -4.0% '16 -2.0% '17 -1.0% '18 '19 2020 '21 '22 '23 '24 19.5% 2025 12.8% '26 ytd

+81%

Since 2010

+6.3%

Per year, last 10 years

6 of 15

Years going backwards

-4.0%

Worst year (2016)

What this shows. How much the typical house price in Palmerston went up or down each year. Teal bars are up years, red bars are down years, and the faded bar is this year so far.

Why it matters. The size of a good year matters less than how many bad years there were and whether they came in a row. Boring? Absolutely. But the length of the down stretch is what decides whether you get out the other side. Typical price at December each year, data from HtAG Analytics.

You don't need to know property to read this. Every chart below opens with the point in one line, then says what it shows and why we care. Teal is a good sign, amber is okay, red means watch it.

The scorecard · 7 things we check

Palmerston scores 23 out of 35. Solid.

Good sign
Cycle 2Down years 1Supply 3People 5Jobs 3Affordability 4Rentals 5 5 = best
Where it is in the cycle

prices are rising as fast as they will this cycle, so the easy money has been made

Years prices fell since 2010

6 of 15 years

New homes being built

1.6 new homes approved per 100 that exist

People moving in

population growing 2.1% a year

Jobs

4.1% unemployed, Australia 4.2%

Can locals afford it

a house costs 5.7 years of a local household's income

Empty rentals

0.7% of rentals are empty, so about 1 in every 100

What this shows. Seven quick checks on Palmerston, each scored out of five. Five is the reading we most want to see.

Why it matters. No single number tells you whether an area is a good buy. Together they show whether the pieces line up. These are bands, not rules: a council outside a band can still be the right buy for the right person, and one inside every band can still be wrong for you.

House prices since 2010 · Palmerston vs the 4 most similar councils in NT

Palmerston has outgrown similar councils over ten years

Good sign
$186k $373k $559k $746k Palmerston $690k 20102012201420162018202020222024
PalmerstonSimilar councils (middle of 4)

+8.5% vs +3.9%

A year, last 5 years

+6.3% vs +1.5%

A year, last 10 years

+3.4% vs +1.5%

A year, last 15 years

What this shows. The typical house price in Palmerston every year, in teal, next to the middle of the five councils in NT closest to it in size and starting price: Alice Springs, Litchfield, Darwin, Katherine. The small "vs" number in each tile is those councils.

Why it matters. Beating its peers over a whole decade is worth more than any single hot year. It usually means something real is pulling people here.

Momentum · the last 36 months

Prices in Palmerston are picking up speed right now

Good sign
$532k $664k $795k 0 227 sold September '23March '24September '24March '25September '25March '26
Last 3 months' priceLast 12 months' priceHouses sold each month

$772,239

3-month price, August 2026

+6.9%

3-month price vs 12-month price

1,529 vs 2,150

Houses sold, last 12 months vs the 12 before

What this shows. Two versions of the same price. The dotted teal line averages the last three months, so it reacts fast. The grey line averages the last twelve, so it moves slowly. The bars are how many houses sold each month.

Why it matters. The last three months are running ahead of the last twelve. That is what speeding up looks like before it shows in the yearly number.

New homes · approvals as a share of all the homes here

New homes in Palmerston are keeping pace with the people

Okay
balanced · 1.5% to 3% a year above this, a lot of building 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 0.7% FY24 · 103 approved 1.2% FY25 · 184 approved 1.6% FY26 · 248 approved · now

What this shows. For every 100 homes already in Palmerston, how many new ones the council approved each year. The teal band is the range we call balanced.

Why it matters. New homes are arriving at about the pace the population absorbs them. Balanced. The home count is the population divided by the average household size, so treat the rate as a guide rather than a census.

Affordability · house price in years of local household income

A house in Palmerston costs 5.7 years of a local family's income

Good sign
expensive · over 8 years stretched · 6 to 8 years affordable · under 6 years 4.3 2016 4.1 2017 3.9 2018 3.9 2019 4.2 2020 4.7 2021 4.6 2022 4.5 2023 4.6 2024 5.3 2025 5.7 2026 so far

What this shows. Take the typical house price and divide it by what a typical household here earns in a year. A bar of 7 means seven years of the whole household's income buys one house.

Why it matters. Affordable by Australian standards. There is room for prices to move before the locals get priced out, and locals are the steadiest buyers a market has. Income is the 2021 Census figure carried forward at 3.5% a year, so it is an estimate, not a measurement.

Rents · typical weekly house rent, last 36 months · and how many rentals sit empty

Rent in Palmerston is $682 a week, up 6.9% in a year

Good sign
$511 $617 $723 $682 a week now September '23March '24September '24March '25September '25March '26

$682

A week, August 2026

+6.9%

Change in the last year

0.7%

Rentals sitting empty (tight)

What this shows. What a typical house in Palmerston rents for each week, month by month. The empty-rentals number is the share of rental homes with nobody in them: under 1.5% is tight, over 3% means tenants have plenty of choice.

Why it matters. Rents rising faster than inflation means more people want to live here than there are homes to rent. That pressure eventually shows up in prices.

Rental yield · a year of rent as a share of the price, Palmerston vs similar councils

Rent covers 4.6% of the price each year in Palmerston

3.9% 5.2% 6.5% 202120232025
PalmerstonSimilar councils

What this shows. Yield is simple: a whole year of rent divided by the house price. A $500,000 house renting for $500 a week earns $26,000 a year, which is a 5.2% yield.

Why it matters. Lower than similar councils, which are around 5.4%. Prices have run ahead of rents, so you are paying more of the loan yourself while you wait for growth. We don't buy on yield alone and we never set a yield cut-off; it is one piece of the picture, next to growth.

The people

Who lives in Palmerston.

The population has grown +2.1% a year over the last five years, which is quick by national standards. The growth is mostly homegrown, births outrunning deaths, rather than people moving in. Softer as a demand signal. The median age is 31 and the median household brings in $2,199 a week (Census 2021). 45% of households rent, a deep tenant pool if you're buying to hold, and more investor competition when stock is tight.

Population · ABS estimates 2015 to 2025

Palmerston is growing fast: 43,193 people, up +2.1% a year

Good sign
35,414 43,193 201520202025

43,193

People, 2025

+2.1% vs +1.3%

A year, last 5 years · typical NT council

+2.0%

A year, last 10 years

Why it matters. People arriving is the rawest form of housing demand. Every new household needs somewhere to live before anything else happens.

Where the growth came from · last 3 years

Growth in Palmerston is homegrown: births outran deaths by 1,636

Okay
Births minus deaths
+1,636
Moved from elsewhere in Australia
-890
Moved from overseas
+1,447

Net change: +2,193 people over three years.

What this shows. Three ways a place gains or loses people: babies born minus people who died, people who moved here from another part of Australia, and people who arrived from overseas. Bars to the right add people, bars to the left take them away.

Why it matters. Births outrunning deaths is the softest kind of growth. It adds people, but it does not add new households straight away.

Age and households · Census 2021

Palmerston is younger than the typical NT council: median age 31 vs 34

Younger
Median age 31 vs 34
People per household 2.8 vs 2.8

Palmerston Typical NT council (middle of 6)

Why it matters. A younger area means first-home buyers, growing families and renters. Three-bedroom houses near schools and jobs are the bread and butter.

Income and who owns the homes · Census 2021

Palmerston is a renters' market: 45% of homes are rented, vs 47% in the typical NT council

Deep rental pool
Household income a week $2,199 +2% vs typical
Who lives in the homes 52% own · 45% rent

Own or paying off Renting Other

Why it matters. Lots of renters means a deep tenant pool if you are buying to hold, and more investor competition when stock is tight.

New supply

What's being approved to build.

248 dwellings were approved in FY26, 150 of them houses. Approvals are clearly trending up, so more supply is coming. Whether that's a problem depends on whether the population keeps outrunning it. On the non-residential side, $50 million of building was approved in FY26, $15 million of it public money. Governments build where they expect people. Within that, $16 million of education and health buildings have been approved across the last three financial years. Schools and hospitals are the most honest signal governments give about where they expect families.

Homes approved · ABS, by financial year

Building in Palmerston is steady: 248 homes approved in FY26

Okay
FY24
103
FY25
184
FY26
248

Houses Units, townhouses and other

248

Homes approved, FY26

60%

Of them houses

1.6%

New homes per 100 that exist

What this shows. How many new homes the council approved each financial year, split into houses and everything else. Approved is not built, but it is the earliest warning of supply on the way.

Why it matters. Enough building to house the newcomers without flooding the market. Boring is good here.

Non-residential building approved · ABS

Government spending on buildings in Palmerston is rising: $15m approved in FY26

Good sign
FY24
$30m
FY25
$73m
FY26
$50m

Government projects All non-residential

$50m

All sectors, FY26

$15m

Government, FY26

$16m

Schools and health, last 3 years

What this shows. The dollar value of shops, offices, schools, hospitals and other non-home buildings approved each year. The darker bar is the government's share.

Why it matters. Governments build where they expect people. Schools and hospitals are the most honest signal they give about where families are heading. For the named projects behind these numbers, ask for the full report.

Jobs

Who's working in Palmerston.

Work here runs on public administration (20% of jobs), ahead of health care and social assistance and construction. 3,422 more residents are in work than five years ago (+16.6%). That is strong jobs growth, and it usually shows up in housing demand with a lag. Unemployment tracks close to the national average at 4.1%. On the ABS advantage index this council ranks in the top 30% of the country, which you'll notice in the price tags.

Jobs · SALM, March 2026

3,422 more people in Palmerston have a job than five years ago

Good sign

24,046

Residents in work

4.1% vs 4.2%

Unemployed · Australia

+16.6%

Jobs change, 5 years

Unemployment rate 4.1% vs 3.1% typical NT council

Palmerston Australia

Why it matters. Strong jobs growth shows up in housing demand with a lag. People get the job first and buy the house a year or two later.

Who employs people here · Census 2021

Public administration is the biggest employer in Palmerston, 20% of jobs

Advantage 8 of 10
Public administration
20%
Health care and social assistance
12%
Construction
10%
Retail trade
8%
Education and training
8%

What this shows. The five industries that employ the most residents, as a share of all jobs. The pill is the ABS advantage score: Palmerston sits in decile 8 of 10 nationally, where 10 is the most advantaged.

Why it matters. A spread of employers means no single closure can empty the town. That is the kind of job base that holds house prices through a downturn.

The outlook

Is Palmerston worth buying into?

Put the drivers together and the case for Palmerston is: a population that keeps growing, a job base that has expanded, public building spend trending up. None of this guarantees anything. It tells you where to look harder, which is what a report like this is for.

Free · Written by hand · One per person

This page is the public data. The full report is that written up as a document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside Palmerston. One per person.

Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

Inside the LGA

The suburbs of Palmerston.

We hold live snapshot data for 9 suburbs in Palmerston. Click through for the full numbers.

Suburb Typical price Rent/wk Gross yield 1yr growth Listings
Durack $801,774 $733 4.8% +21% REA · Domain
Farrar $781,466 $732 4.9% +20% REA · Domain
Gunn $763,898 $705 4.8% +24% REA · Domain
Rosebery $709,027 $735 5.4% +11% REA · Domain
Woodroffe $655,555 $651 5.2% +24% REA · Domain
Driver $650,860 $661 5.3% +19% REA · Domain
Bakewell $641,076 $690 5.6% +14% REA · Domain
Gray $626,569 $621 5.2% +26% REA · Domain
Moulden $618,322 $590 5.0% +24% REA · Domain

Next step. See what's for sale in Durack on realestate.com.au or Domain. Then send me the address before you make an offer. That is the part the data cannot do.

All 18 suburbs and localities in Palmerston

Archer · Bakewell · Bellamack · Driver · Durack · Farrar · Gray · Gunn · Johnston · Marlow Lagoon · Mitchell · Moulden · Palmerston City · Pinelands · Rosebery · Woodroffe · Yarrawonga · Zuccoli

Free · Written by hand · One per person

Want the full workup on Palmerston?

This page is the public data. The full report is the written workup: current price, rent, gross yield and vacancy, growth over 1, 3, 5 and 10 years, days on market and demand, and the supply coming down the pipe, for Palmerston or any suburb in it. Same data we run for clients. I pull it and email it through, usually within a business day. One per person, no charge, and no 14-part email sequence afterwards. All I ask is that if it lands, you take the fifteen minute call at the end of it.

Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

Keep comparing

Markets of a similar size in NT.

A council only makes sense in context. These are the NT markets closest to Palmerston in population, each with its own written report.

General information only, not financial or investment advice. Cycle positions and projections are modelled LGA-level figures to July 2026, sourced from HtAG Analytics. Population and approvals are ABS estimates; employment is SALM smoothed data; income, age and tenure are Census 2021. None of it can see street quality, flood maps, zoning or the contract, which is where deals are actually won and lost. Get advice on your own situation before acting.

Data finds the area. It doesn't buy the house.

We narrow 15,000 suburbs to the top 5 for each client, then find the street and the property. If Palmerston is on your list, that's a conversation worth having early.

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