Free market report · Data to July 2026

Oberon property market

Oberon is one of the 453 council areas we track on the Momentum Dial, our property clock. This page is the plain-numbers read: where it sits in the cycle, who lives there, what's being built, and the suburbs inside it.

Oberon is home to 5,595 people. On the Buyers First Momentum Dial its house market currently reads at Peak. Here's the rest of the picture, in plain numbers.

Houses · cycle position

Peak

The Oberon house market is growing at its fastest pace in the current cycle. That is a momentum reading, not a crash call: markets can sit at peak growth for a long time before easing.

-2% to +13%

Modelled 12-month price range

+2.6%

Modelled 12-month rent change

Units · cycle position

Not enough unit sales in Oberon for a reliable cycle reading. That's common outside the cities, and honest beats guessed.

At a glance · houses

$707,068

Typical house, August 2026

+5.2% a year since 2010

+7.9%

Growth a year, last 10 years

+9.4% a year over the last 5

$475

Rent a week

3.5% gross yield

1 of 15

Years prices fell since 2010

Worst: 2014, -2%

The clock measures growth momentum, not price. Peak means growing fastest, not about to fall. Cycle data and projections sourced from HtAG Analytics. See Oberon on the clock.

Free · One per person

Want all of this written up for Oberon?

The full report is this data as a written document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside Oberon, and the numbers that cut against the area. I write them by hand, so it comes from me rather than out of a system.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

The numbers, explained

Oberon in charts.

The typical house in Oberon went from $303,476 in 2010 to $707,068 in August 2026. That is +133% in total, +5.2% a year. One down year in 15. That is a market that pauses rather than falls, and pauses are where the buying gets done.

Houses · price change each year · 2011 to 2026

Prices in Oberon fell in just one year out of 15

Good sign
'11 '12 '13 -2.4% '14 2015 '16 '17 '18 '19 2020 '21 23.4% '22 '23 '24 2025 10.0% '26 ytd

+133%

Since 2010

+7.9%

Per year, last 10 years

1 of 15

Years going backwards

-2.4%

Worst year (2014)

What this shows. How much the typical house price in Oberon went up or down each year. Teal bars are up years, red bars are down years, and the faded bar is this year so far.

Why it matters. The size of a good year matters less than how many bad years there were and whether they came in a row. Boring? Absolutely. But the length of the down stretch is what decides whether you get out the other side. Typical price at December each year, data from HtAG Analytics.

You don't need to know property to read this. Every chart below opens with the point in one line, then says what it shows and why we care. Teal is a good sign, amber is okay, red means watch it.

The scorecard · 7 things we check

Oberon scores 23 out of 35. Solid.

Good sign
Cycle 2Down years 4Supply 5People 2Jobs 5Affordability 2Rentals 3 5 = best
Where it is in the cycle

prices are rising as fast as they will this cycle, so the easy money has been made

Years prices fell since 2010

1 of 15 years

New homes being built

0.9 new homes approved per 100 that exist

People moving in

population growing 0.2% a year

Jobs

1.9% unemployed, Australia 4.2%

Can locals afford it

a house costs 7.9 years of a local household's income

Empty rentals

1.7% of rentals are empty, so about 2 in every 100

What this shows. Seven quick checks on Oberon, each scored out of five. Five is the reading we most want to see.

Why it matters. No single number tells you whether an area is a good buy. Together they show whether the pieces line up. These are bands, not rules: a council outside a band can still be the right buy for the right person, and one inside every band can still be wrong for you.

House prices since 2010 · Oberon vs the 5 most similar councils in NSW

Oberon has outgrown similar councils over ten years

Good sign
$174k $347k $521k $694k Oberon $643k 20102012201420162018202020222024
OberonSimilar councils (middle of 5)

+9.4% vs +10.9%

A year, last 5 years

+7.9% vs +6.5%

A year, last 10 years

+5.7% vs +5.5%

A year, last 15 years

What this shows. The typical house price in Oberon every year, in teal, next to the middle of the five councils in NSW closest to it in size and starting price: Bland, Narrandera, Temora, Uralla, Gwydir. The small "vs" number in each tile is those councils.

Why it matters. Beating its peers over a whole decade is worth more than any single hot year. It usually means something real is pulling people here.

Momentum · the last 36 months

Prices in Oberon are picking up speed right now

Good sign
$580k $649k $718k 0 20 sold September '23March '24September '24March '25September '25March '26
Last 3 months' priceLast 12 months' priceHouses sold each month

$697,546

3-month price, August 2026

+5.2%

3-month price vs 12-month price

87 vs 121

Houses sold, last 12 months vs the 12 before

What this shows. Two versions of the same price. The dotted teal line averages the last three months, so it reacts fast. The grey line averages the last twelve, so it moves slowly. The bars are how many houses sold each month.

Why it matters. The last three months are running ahead of the last twelve. That is what speeding up looks like before it shows in the yearly number.

New homes · approvals as a share of all the homes here

Not many new homes are being built in Oberon

Good sign
balanced · 1.5% to 3% a year above this, a lot of building 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 1.1% FY24 · 27 approved 0.8% FY25 · 20 approved 0.9% FY26 · 22 approved · now

What this shows. For every 100 homes already in Oberon, how many new ones the council approved each year. The teal band is the range we call balanced.

Why it matters. Fewer new homes means the ones that exist stay in demand. It can also mean building here is hard or slow, which cuts the same way. The home count is the population divided by the average household size, so treat the rate as a guide rather than a census.

Affordability · house price in years of local household income

A house in Oberon costs 7.9 years of a local family's income

Okay
expensive · over 8 years stretched · 6 to 8 years affordable · under 6 years 5.4 2016 5.5 2017 5.5 2018 5.6 2019 5.8 2020 6.4 2021 7.6 2022 7.4 2023 7.4 2024 7.5 2025 7.9 2026 so far

What this shows. Take the typical house price and divide it by what a typical household here earns in a year. A bar of 7 means seven years of the whole household's income buys one house.

Why it matters. Stretched, which is where most of the country sits now. Growth from here leans on rising incomes and buyers coming in from outside the area. Income is the 2021 Census figure carried forward at 3.5% a year, so it is an estimate, not a measurement.

Rents · typical weekly house rent, last 36 months · and how many rentals sit empty

Rent in Oberon is $475 a week, up 4.6% in a year

Good sign
$342 $423 $504 $475 a week now September '23March '24September '24March '25September '25March '26

$475

A week, August 2026

+4.6%

Change in the last year

1.7%

Rentals sitting empty (balanced)

What this shows. What a typical house in Oberon rents for each week, month by month. The empty-rentals number is the share of rental homes with nobody in them: under 1.5% is tight, over 3% means tenants have plenty of choice.

Why it matters. Rents rising faster than inflation means more people want to live here than there are homes to rent. That pressure eventually shows up in prices.

Rental yield · a year of rent as a share of the price, Oberon vs similar councils

Rent covers 3.5% of the price each year in Oberon

2.7% 4.6% 6.6% 20102012201420162018202020222024
OberonSimilar councils

What this shows. Yield is simple: a whole year of rent divided by the house price. A $500,000 house renting for $500 a week earns $26,000 a year, which is a 5.2% yield.

Why it matters. Lower than similar councils, which are around 5.0%. Prices have run ahead of rents, so you are paying more of the loan yourself while you wait for growth. We don't buy on yield alone and we never set a yield cut-off; it is one piece of the picture, next to growth.

The people

Who lives in Oberon.

Population growth has been close to flat over the last five years, +0.2% a year. Interesting mix underneath: locals have been leaving on net (-27 over three years) while overseas migration more than filled the gap (42). Worth understanding who is arriving and what housing they need. The median age is 47 and the median household brings in $1,441 a week (Census 2021). 74% of households own or are paying off their home. Owner-occupier markets like this tend to hold their nerve through the cycle, because nobody is forced to sell an address they live at.

Population · ABS estimates 2015 to 2025

Oberon has stopped growing: 5,595 people, +0.2% a year

Watch this
5,329 5,595 201520202025

5,595

People, 2025

+0.2% vs +0.6%

A year, last 5 years · typical NSW council

+0.5%

A year, last 10 years

Why it matters. With few new arrivals, demand here comes from locals moving house, not from growth. Prices can still rise, but they lean on other drivers.

Where the growth came from · last 3 years

Overseas arrivals are doing the heavy lifting in Oberon: 42 in three years

Okay
Births minus deaths
-10
Moved from elsewhere in Australia
-27
Moved from overseas
+42

Net change: +5 people over three years.

What this shows. Three ways a place gains or loses people: babies born minus people who died, people who moved here from another part of Australia, and people who arrived from overseas. Bars to the right add people, bars to the left take them away.

Why it matters. Overseas arrivals usually rent first, so this kind of growth shows up in rents before it shows up in prices.

Age and households · Census 2021

Oberon is older than the typical NSW council: median age 47 vs 42

Older
Median age 47 vs 42
People per household 2.3 vs 2.4

Oberon Typical NSW council (middle of 122)

Why it matters. An older area leans on retirees and downsizers. Single-level homes near health services do best, and turnover tends to be lower.

Income and who owns the homes · Census 2021

Most homes in Oberon are owner-occupied: 74% own or are paying off, 21% rent

Owner market
Household income a week $1,441 -3% vs typical
Who lives in the homes 74% own · 21% rent

Own or paying off Renting Other

Why it matters. Owner-occupier markets hold their nerve through the cycle, because nobody is forced to sell the address they live at.

New supply

What's being approved to build.

22 dwellings were approved in FY26, 20 of them houses. Approvals have been roughly steady year to year. $11 million of non-residential building was approved in FY26, nearly all of it private.

Homes approved · ABS, by financial year

Not much new is being built in Oberon: 22 homes approved in FY26

Good sign
FY24
27
FY25
20
FY26
22

Houses Units, townhouses and other

22

Homes approved, FY26

91%

Of them houses

0.9%

New homes per 100 that exist

What this shows. How many new homes the council approved each financial year, split into houses and everything else. Approved is not built, but it is the earliest warning of supply on the way.

Why it matters. When little gets built, the homes already here do not have much competition. Good for prices, as long as people keep arriving.

Non-residential building approved · ABS

$11m of non-residential building was approved in Oberon in FY26

Okay
FY24
$4m
FY25
$16m
FY26
$11m

Government projects All non-residential

$11m

All sectors, FY26

$154k

Government, FY26

$154k

Schools and health, last 3 years

What this shows. The dollar value of shops, offices, schools, hospitals and other non-home buildings approved each year. The darker bar is the government's share.

Why it matters. Governments build where they expect people. Schools and hospitals are the most honest signal they give about where families are heading. For the named projects behind these numbers, ask for the full report.

Jobs

Who's working in Oberon.

Work here runs on manufacturing (17% of jobs), ahead of agriculture and health care and social assistance. 26 fewer residents are in work than five years ago (-0.9%). Understand why before anything else on this page. Unemployment sits at 1.9%, comfortably under the national 4.2%.

Jobs · SALM, March 2026

26 fewer people in Oberon have a job than five years ago

Watch this

2,993

Residents in work

1.9% vs 4.2%

Unemployed · Australia

-0.9%

Jobs change, 5 years

Unemployment rate 1.9% vs 3.4% typical NSW council

Oberon Australia

Why it matters. A shrinking job base is the thing to understand before anything else on this page. People follow work, and housing follows people.

Who employs people here · Census 2021

Manufacturing is the biggest employer in Oberon, 17% of jobs

Advantage 5 of 10
Manufacturing
17%
Agriculture
14%
Health care and social assistance
10%
Construction
8%
Education and training
7%

What this shows. The five industries that employ the most residents, as a share of all jobs. The pill is the ABS advantage score: Oberon sits in decile 5 of 10 nationally, where 10 is the most advantaged.

Why it matters. A spread of employers means no single closure can empty the town. That is the kind of job base that holds house prices through a downturn.

The outlook

Is Oberon worth buying into?

Put the drivers together and the case for Oberon is: public building spend trending up, new supply thinning out. Against that, weigh fewer residents in work than five years ago. None of this guarantees anything. It tells you where to look harder, which is what a report like this is for.

Free · Written by hand · One per person

This page is the public data. The full report is that written up as a document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside Oberon. One per person.

Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

Inside the LGA

The suburbs of Oberon.

Next step. See what's for sale in Oberon on realestate.com.au or Domain. Then send me the address before you make an offer. That is the part the data cannot do.

All 36 suburbs and localities in Oberon

Arkstone · Bald Ridge · Ballyroe · Black Springs · Burraga · Charlton · Chatham Valley · Dog Rocks · Duckmaloi · Edith · Essington · Gilmandyke · Gingkin · Gurnang · Hazelgrove · Isabella · Jaunter · Jenolan · Jeremy · Jerrong · Judds Creek · Kanangra · Mayfield · Mount David · Mount Olive · Mozart · Norway · O'Connell · Oberon · Paling Yards · Porters Retreat · Shooters Hill · The Meadows · Triangle Flat · Twenty Forests · Wisemans Creek

Free · Written by hand · One per person

Want the full workup on Oberon?

This page is the public data. The full report is the written workup: current price, rent, gross yield and vacancy, growth over 1, 3, 5 and 10 years, days on market and demand, and the supply coming down the pipe, for Oberon or any suburb in it. Same data we run for clients. I pull it and email it through, usually within a business day. One per person, no charge, and no 14-part email sequence afterwards. All I ask is that if it lands, you take the fifteen minute call at the end of it.

Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

Keep comparing

Markets of a similar size in NSW.

A council only makes sense in context. These are the NSW markets closest to Oberon in population, each with its own written report.

General information only, not financial or investment advice. Cycle positions and projections are modelled LGA-level figures to July 2026, sourced from HtAG Analytics. Population and approvals are ABS estimates; employment is SALM smoothed data; income, age and tenure are Census 2021. None of it can see street quality, flood maps, zoning or the contract, which is where deals are actually won and lost. Get advice on your own situation before acting.

Data finds the area. It doesn't buy the house.

We narrow 15,000 suburbs to the top 5 for each client, then find the street and the property. If Oberon is on your list, that's a conversation worth having early.

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