Free market report · Data to July 2026

East Gippsland property market

East Gippsland is one of the 453 council areas we track on the Momentum Dial, our property clock. This page is the plain-numbers read: where it sits in the cycle, who lives there, what's being built, and the suburbs inside it.

East Gippsland is home to 49,669 people. On the Buyers First Momentum Dial its house market currently reads at Peak, while units read Rising. Same council, different clocks, which is exactly why we track them separately. The number that matters most here: 2,405 more residents are in work than five years ago, +12.6%. Jobs lead prices. Here's the rest of the picture, in plain numbers.

Houses · cycle position

Peak

The East Gippsland house market is growing at its fastest pace in the current cycle. That is a momentum reading, not a crash call: markets can sit at peak growth for a long time before easing.

-7% to +14%

Modelled 12-month price range

+3.0%

Modelled 12-month rent change

Units · cycle position

Rising

The unit market is accelerating. Growth is building pace rather than fading, which is the phase most investors wish they had caught in hindsight.

-9% to +14%

Modelled 12-month price range

+2.9%

Modelled 12-month rent change

At a glance · houses

$558,913

Typical house, August 2026

+4.7% a year since 2010

+5.7%

Growth a year, last 10 years

+4.3% a year over the last 5

$479

Rent a week

4.5% gross yield

2 of 15

Years prices fell since 2010

Worst: 2012, -1%

The clock measures growth momentum, not price. Peak means growing fastest, not about to fall. Cycle data and projections sourced from HtAG Analytics. See East Gippsland on the clock.

Free · One per person

Want all of this written up for East Gippsland?

The full report is this data as a written document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside East Gippsland, and the numbers that cut against the area. I write them by hand, so it comes from me rather than out of a system.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

The numbers, explained

East Gippsland in charts.

The typical house in East Gippsland went from $261,102 in 2010 to $558,913 in August 2026. That is +114% in total, +4.7% a year. 2 down years out of 15, never more than 1 in a row. Cycles, not collapses.

Houses · price change each year · 2011 to 2026

Prices in East Gippsland fell in 2 of the last 15 years

Okay
'11 -1.4% '12 '13 '14 2015 '16 '17 '18 '19 2020 21.4% '21 '22 '23 -0.7% '24 2025 2.8% '26 ytd

+114%

Since 2010

+5.7%

Per year, last 10 years

2 of 15

Years going backwards

-1.4%

Worst year (2012)

What this shows. How much the typical house price in East Gippsland went up or down each year. Teal bars are up years, red bars are down years, and the faded bar is this year so far.

Why it matters. The size of a good year matters less than how many bad years there were and whether they came in a row. Boring? Absolutely. But the length of the down stretch is what decides whether you get out the other side. Typical price at December each year, data from HtAG Analytics.

You don't need to know property to read this. Every chart below opens with the point in one line, then says what it shows and why we care. Teal is a good sign, amber is okay, red means watch it.

The scorecard · 7 things we check

East Gippsland scores 18 out of 35. Mixed.

Okay
Cycle 2Down years 3Supply 3People 3Jobs 2Affordability 2Rentals 3 5 = best
Where it is in the cycle

prices are rising as fast as they will this cycle, so the easy money has been made

Years prices fell since 2010

2 of 15 years

New homes being built

1.6 new homes approved per 100 that exist

People moving in

population growing 0.7% a year

Jobs

4.8% unemployed, Australia 4.2%

Can locals afford it

a house costs 8.2 years of a local household's income

Empty rentals

1.6% of rentals are empty, so about 2 in every 100

What this shows. Seven quick checks on East Gippsland, each scored out of five. Five is the reading we most want to see.

Why it matters. No single number tells you whether an area is a good buy. Together they show whether the pieces line up. These are bands, not rules: a council outside a band can still be the right buy for the right person, and one inside every band can still be wrong for you.

House prices since 2010 · East Gippsland vs the 5 most similar councils in VIC

East Gippsland has grown more slowly than similar councils over ten years

Watch this
$170k $340k $511k $681k East Gippsland $544k 20102012201420162018202020222024
East GippslandSimilar councils (middle of 5)

+4.3% vs +9.3%

A year, last 5 years

+5.7% vs +7.3%

A year, last 10 years

+5.0% vs +5.8%

A year, last 15 years

What this shows. The typical house price in East Gippsland every year, in teal, next to the middle of the five councils in VIC closest to it in size and starting price: Wellington, Macedon Ranges, Wodonga, Bass Coast, Mildura. The small "vs" number in each tile is those councils.

Why it matters. Sometimes a slower market is catching up, sometimes it is being passed. The jobs and supply readings on this page tell you which.

Momentum · the last 36 months

Prices in East Gippsland are moving at a steady pace

Okay
$520k $547k $574k 0 178 sold September '23March '24September '24March '25September '25March '26
Last 3 months' priceLast 12 months' priceHouses sold each month

$557,294

3-month price, August 2026

+1.5%

3-month price vs 12-month price

1,496 vs 1,592

Houses sold, last 12 months vs the 12 before

What this shows. Two versions of the same price. The dotted teal line averages the last three months, so it reacts fast. The grey line averages the last twelve, so it moves slowly. The bars are how many houses sold each month.

Why it matters. The three-month and twelve-month prices are moving together. No acceleration either way.

New homes · approvals as a share of all the homes here

New homes in East Gippsland are keeping pace with the people

Okay
balanced · 1.5% to 3% a year above this, a lot of building 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 1.7% FY24 · 377 approved 1.5% FY25 · 345 approved 1.6% FY26 · 361 approved · now

What this shows. For every 100 homes already in East Gippsland, how many new ones the council approved each year. The teal band is the range we call balanced.

Why it matters. New homes are arriving at about the pace the population absorbs them. Balanced. The home count is the population divided by the average household size, so treat the rate as a guide rather than a census.

Affordability · house price in years of local household income

A house in East Gippsland costs 8.2 years of a local family's income

Watch this
expensive · over 8 years stretched · 6 to 8 years affordable · under 6 years 6.7 2016 6.7 2017 6.6 2018 6.6 2019 7.2 2020 8.4 2021 9.0 2022 8.8 2023 8.4 2024 8.2 2025 8.2 2026 so far

What this shows. Take the typical house price and divide it by what a typical household here earns in a year. A bar of 7 means seven years of the whole household's income buys one house.

Why it matters. Expensive for the people who live here. Prices at this level need outside buyers to keep moving, and outside buyers are the first to leave when things wobble. Income is the 2021 Census figure carried forward at 3.5% a year, so it is an estimate, not a measurement.

Rents · typical weekly house rent, last 36 months · and how many rentals sit empty

Rent in East Gippsland is $479 a week, up 1.7% in a year

Okay
$386 $447 $508 $479 a week now September '23March '24September '24March '25September '25March '26

$479

A week, August 2026

+1.7%

Change in the last year

1.6%

Rentals sitting empty (balanced)

What this shows. What a typical house in East Gippsland rents for each week, month by month. The empty-rentals number is the share of rental homes with nobody in them: under 1.5% is tight, over 3% means tenants have plenty of choice.

Why it matters. Rents are moving with inflation. Steady rather than tight.

Rental yield · a year of rent as a share of the price, East Gippsland vs similar councils

Rent covers 4.5% of the price each year in East Gippsland

3.0% 4.1% 5.2% 202120232025
East GippslandSimilar councils

What this shows. Yield is simple: a whole year of rent divided by the house price. A $500,000 house renting for $500 a week earns $26,000 a year, which is a 5.2% yield.

Why it matters. Higher than similar councils, which are around 3.9%. The rent does more of the heavy lifting here, so holding costs less out of pocket. We don't buy on yield alone and we never set a yield cut-off; it is one piece of the picture, next to growth.

The people

Who lives in East Gippsland.

The population has grown a steady +0.7% a year over the last five years. The growth is mostly people moving in from elsewhere in Australia, 937 of them on net over the last three years. Internal migration is the strongest kind of housing demand, because those people chose here on purpose. The median age is 52 and the median household brings in $1,110 a week (Census 2021). 76% of households own or are paying off their home. Owner-occupier markets like this tend to hold their nerve through the cycle, because nobody is forced to sell an address they live at.

Population · ABS estimates 2015 to 2025

East Gippsland is growing steadily: 49,669 people, up +0.7% a year

Okay
44,868 49,669 201520202025

49,669

People, 2025

+0.7% vs +0.6%

A year, last 5 years · typical VIC council

+1.0%

A year, last 10 years

Why it matters. Steady growth is enough to keep demand ahead of supply, as long as building stays sensible.

Where the growth came from · last 3 years

Most new residents chose East Gippsland on purpose: 937 moved in from elsewhere in Australia

Good sign
Births minus deaths
-471
Moved from elsewhere in Australia
+937
Moved from overseas
+393

Net change: +859 people over three years.

What this shows. Three ways a place gains or loses people: babies born minus people who died, people who moved here from another part of Australia, and people who arrived from overseas. Bars to the right add people, bars to the left take them away.

Why it matters. People who move here from another part of Australia are the strongest kind of demand. They compared it with somewhere else and picked here.

Age and households · Census 2021

East Gippsland is older than the typical VIC council: median age 52 vs 42

Older
Median age 52 vs 42
People per household 2.2 vs 2.4

East Gippsland Typical VIC council (middle of 78)

Why it matters. An older area leans on retirees and downsizers. Single-level homes near health services do best, and turnover tends to be lower.

Income and who owns the homes · Census 2021

Most homes in East Gippsland are owner-occupied: 76% own or are paying off, 20% rent

Owner market
Household income a week $1,110 -26% vs typical
Who lives in the homes 76% own · 20% rent

Own or paying off Renting Other

Why it matters. Owner-occupier markets hold their nerve through the cycle, because nobody is forced to sell the address they live at.

New supply

What's being approved to build.

361 dwellings were approved in FY26, 293 of them houses. Approvals have been roughly steady year to year. On the non-residential side, $89 million of building was approved in FY26, $57 million of it public money. Governments build where they expect people. Within that, $56 million of education and health buildings have been approved across the last three financial years. Schools and hospitals are the most honest signal governments give about where they expect families.

Homes approved · ABS, by financial year

Building in East Gippsland is steady: 361 homes approved in FY26

Okay
FY24
377
FY25
345
FY26
361

Houses Units, townhouses and other

361

Homes approved, FY26

81%

Of them houses

1.6%

New homes per 100 that exist

What this shows. How many new homes the council approved each financial year, split into houses and everything else. Approved is not built, but it is the earliest warning of supply on the way.

Why it matters. Enough building to house the newcomers without flooding the market. Boring is good here.

Non-residential building approved · ABS

Government spending on buildings in East Gippsland is rising: $57m approved in FY26

Good sign
FY24
$84m
FY25
$100m
FY26
$89m

Government projects All non-residential

$89m

All sectors, FY26

$57m

Government, FY26

$56m

Schools and health, last 3 years

What this shows. The dollar value of shops, offices, schools, hospitals and other non-home buildings approved each year. The darker bar is the government's share.

Why it matters. Governments build where they expect people. Schools and hospitals are the most honest signal they give about where families are heading. For the named projects behind these numbers, ask for the full report.

Jobs

Who's working in East Gippsland.

Work here runs on health care and social assistance (16% of jobs), ahead of construction and retail trade. 2,405 more residents are in work than five years ago (+12.6%). That is strong jobs growth, and it usually shows up in housing demand with a lag. Unemployment tracks close to the national average at 4.8%.

Jobs · SALM, March 2026

2,405 more people in East Gippsland have a job than five years ago

Good sign

21,529

Residents in work

4.8% vs 4.2%

Unemployed · Australia

+12.6%

Jobs change, 5 years

Unemployment rate 4.8% vs 3.7% typical VIC council

East Gippsland Australia

Why it matters. Strong jobs growth shows up in housing demand with a lag. People get the job first and buy the house a year or two later.

Who employs people here · Census 2021

Health care and social assistance is the biggest employer in East Gippsland, 16% of jobs

Advantage 4 of 10
Health care and social assistance
16%
Construction
10%
Retail trade
10%
Education and training
9%
Agriculture
8%

What this shows. The five industries that employ the most residents, as a share of all jobs. The pill is the ABS advantage score: East Gippsland sits in decile 4 of 10 nationally, where 10 is the most advantaged.

Why it matters. A spread of employers means no single closure can empty the town. That is the kind of job base that holds house prices through a downturn.

The outlook

Is East Gippsland worth buying into?

Put the drivers together and the case for East Gippsland is: net internal migration in its favour, a job base that has expanded, public building spend trending up. None of this guarantees anything. It tells you where to look harder, which is what a report like this is for.

Free · Written by hand · One per person

This page is the public data. The full report is that written up as a document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside East Gippsland. One per person.

Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

Inside the LGA

The suburbs of East Gippsland.

We hold live snapshot data for 2 suburbs in East Gippsland. Click through for the full numbers.

Suburb Typical price Rent/wk Gross yield 1yr growth Listings
Lucknow $633,409 $514 4.2% +17% REA · Domain
Bairnsdale $503,075 $469 4.8% +6% REA · Domain

Next step. See what's for sale in Lucknow on realestate.com.au or Domain. Then send me the address before you make an offer. That is the part the data cannot do.

All 141 suburbs and localities in East Gippsland

Anglers Rest · Bairnsdale · Bellbird Creek · Bemm River · Benambra · Bendoc · Bengworden · Bete Bolong · Bete Bolong North · Bindi · Bingo Munjie · Bonang · Boole Poole · Brodribb River · Brookville · Brumby · Bruthen · Buchan · Buchan South · Buldah · Bullumwaal · Bumberrah · Bundara · Butchers Ridge · Cabbage Tree Creek · Calulu · Cann River · Cape Conran · Cassilis · Chandlers Creek · Clifton Creek · Club Terrace · Cobbannah · Cobberas · Cobungra · Combienbar · Corringle · Deddick Valley · Delegate River · Deptford · Doctors Flat · Double Bridges · Eagle Point · East Bairnsdale · Eastwood · Ellaswood · Ensay · Ensay North · Errinundra · Fairy Dell · Fernbank · Flaggy Creek · Forge Creek · Gelantipy · Genoa · Gipsy Point · Glen Valley · Glen Wills · Glenaladale · Goon Nure · Goongerah · Granite Rock · Hillside · Hinnomunjie · Iguana Creek · Jarrahmond · Johnsonville · Kalimna · Kalimna West · Lake Bunga · Lake Tyers · Lake Tyers Beach · Lakes Entrance · Lindenow · Lindenow South · Lucknow · Mallacoota · Manorina · Maramingo Creek · Marlo · Marthavale · Melwood · Merrijig · Metung · Mossiface · Mount Taylor · Murrindal · Nelse · Newlands Arm · Newmerella · Nicholson · Noorinbee · Noorinbee North · Nowa Nowa · Nungurner · Nunniong · Nurran · Nyerimilang · Ocean Grange · Omeo · Omeo Valley · Orbost · Paynesville · Raymond Island · Reedy Flat · Ryans · Sarsfield · Simpsons Creek · Stirling · Suggan Buggan · Swan Reach · Swifts Creek · Tabberabbera · Tambo Crossing · Tambo Upper · Tamboon · Timbarra · Tonghi Creek · Tongio · Toorloo Arm · Tostaree · Tubbut · W Tree · Wairewa · Wallagaraugh · Walpa · Wangarabell · Waterholes · Waygara · Wentworth · Wingan River · Wiseleigh · Wombat Creek · Woodglen · Wroxham · Wuk Wuk · Wulgulmerang · Wulgulmerang East · Wulgulmerang West · Wy Yung · Yalmy

Free · Written by hand · One per person

Want the full workup on East Gippsland?

This page is the public data. The full report is the written workup: current price, rent, gross yield and vacancy, growth over 1, 3, 5 and 10 years, days on market and demand, and the supply coming down the pipe, for East Gippsland or any suburb in it. Same data we run for clients. I pull it and email it through, usually within a business day. One per person, no charge, and no 14-part email sequence afterwards. All I ask is that if it lands, you take the fifteen minute call at the end of it.

Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

Keep comparing

Markets of a similar size in VIC.

A council only makes sense in context. These are the VIC markets closest to East Gippsland in population, each with its own written report.

General information only, not financial or investment advice. Cycle positions and projections are modelled LGA-level figures to July 2026, sourced from HtAG Analytics. Population and approvals are ABS estimates; employment is SALM smoothed data; income, age and tenure are Census 2021. None of it can see street quality, flood maps, zoning or the contract, which is where deals are actually won and lost. Get advice on your own situation before acting.

Data finds the area. It doesn't buy the house.

We narrow 15,000 suburbs to the top 5 for each client, then find the street and the property. If East Gippsland is on your list, that's a conversation worth having early.

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