Free market report · Data to July 2026

Alexandrina property market

Alexandrina is one of the 453 council areas we track on the Momentum Dial, our property clock. This page is the plain-numbers read: where it sits in the cycle, who lives there, what's being built, and the suburbs inside it.

Alexandrina is home to 31,427 people. On the Buyers First Momentum Dial its house market currently reads Slowing, while units read at Peak. Same council, different clocks, which is exactly why we track them separately. The number that matters most here: population is compounding at +2.1% a year. People arriving is the rawest form of housing demand. Here's the rest of the picture, in plain numbers.

Houses · cycle position

Slowing

The Alexandrina house market is still growing, but the pace has come off its fastest point. Slowing markets often keep rising for years, just less quickly.

-6% to +12%

Modelled 12-month price range

+3.4%

Modelled 12-month rent change

Units · cycle position

Peak

The unit market is growing at its fastest pace in the current cycle. That is a momentum reading, not a crash call: markets can sit at peak growth for a long time before easing.

-3% to +18%

Modelled 12-month price range

+1.2%

Modelled 12-month rent change

At a glance · houses

$844,928

Typical house, August 2026

+6.2% a year since 2010

+8.3%

Growth a year, last 10 years

+10.4% a year over the last 5

$535

Rent a week

3.3% gross yield

0 of 15

Years prices fell since 2010

Never a down year

The clock measures growth momentum, not price. Peak means growing fastest, not about to fall. Cycle data and projections sourced from HtAG Analytics. See Alexandrina on the clock.

Free · One per person

Want all of this written up for Alexandrina?

The full report is this data as a written document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside Alexandrina, and the numbers that cut against the area. I write them by hand, so it comes from me rather than out of a system.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

The numbers, explained

Alexandrina in charts.

The typical house in Alexandrina went from $312,664 in 2010 to $844,928 in August 2026. That is +170% in total, +6.2% a year. Not one full year going backwards since 2010. That is rare, and it is the kind of market you can hold through anything.

Houses · price change each year · 2011 to 2026

Prices in Alexandrina have not had a down year since 2010

Good sign
'11 '12 '13 '14 2015 '16 '17 '18 '19 2020 '21 '22 '23 13.8% '24 2025 3.8% '26 ytd

+170%

Since 2010

+8.3%

Per year, last 10 years

0 of 15

Years going backwards

+2.0%

Worst year (2013)

What this shows. How much the typical house price in Alexandrina went up or down each year. Teal bars are up years, red bars are down years, and the faded bar is this year so far.

Why it matters. The size of a good year matters less than how many bad years there were and whether they came in a row. Boring? Absolutely. But the length of the down stretch is what decides whether you get out the other side. Typical price at December each year, data from HtAG Analytics.

You don't need to know property to read this. Every chart below opens with the point in one line, then says what it shows and why we care. Teal is a good sign, amber is okay, red means watch it.

The scorecard · 7 things we check

Alexandrina scores 26 out of 35. Solid.

Good sign
Cycle 3Down years 5Supply 2People 5Jobs 5Affordability 1Rentals 5 5 = best
Where it is in the cycle

prices are still rising but more slowly

Years prices fell since 2010

none in 15 years

New homes being built

3.0 new homes approved per 100 that exist

People moving in

population growing 2.1% a year

Jobs

2.9% unemployed, Australia 4.2%

Can locals afford it

a house costs 12.0 years of a local household's income

Empty rentals

1.0% of rentals are empty, so about 1 in every 100

What this shows. Seven quick checks on Alexandrina, each scored out of five. Five is the reading we most want to see.

Why it matters. No single number tells you whether an area is a good buy. Together they show whether the pieces line up. These are bands, not rules: a council outside a band can still be the right buy for the right person, and one inside every band can still be wrong for you.

House prices since 2010 · Alexandrina vs the 5 most similar councils in SA

Alexandrina has grown more slowly than similar councils over ten years

Watch this
$220k $440k $659k $879k Alexandrina $814k 20102012201420162018202020222024
AlexandrinaSimilar councils (middle of 5)

+10.4% vs +16.6%

A year, last 5 years

+8.3% vs +9.8%

A year, last 10 years

+6.4% vs +6.4%

A year, last 15 years

What this shows. The typical house price in Alexandrina every year, in teal, next to the middle of the five councils in SA closest to it in size and starting price: Mount Gambier, Gawler, Barossa, Holdfast Bay, Murray Bridge. The small "vs" number in each tile is those councils.

Why it matters. Sometimes a slower market is catching up, sometimes it is being passed. The jobs and supply readings on this page tell you which.

Momentum · the last 36 months

Prices in Alexandrina are picking up speed right now

Good sign
$601k $734k $867k 0 170 sold September '23March '24September '24March '25September '25March '26
Last 3 months' priceLast 12 months' priceHouses sold each month

$841,865

3-month price, August 2026

+2.1%

3-month price vs 12-month price

1,237 vs 1,395

Houses sold, last 12 months vs the 12 before

What this shows. Two versions of the same price. The dotted teal line averages the last three months, so it reacts fast. The grey line averages the last twelve, so it moves slowly. The bars are how many houses sold each month.

Why it matters. The last three months are running ahead of the last twelve. That is what speeding up looks like before it shows in the yearly number.

New homes · approvals as a share of all the homes here

A lot of new homes are being built in Alexandrina

Watch this
balanced · 1.5% to 3% a year above this, a lot of building 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 2.7% FY24 · 373 approved 3.5% FY25 · 475 approved 3.0% FY26 · 416 approved · now

What this shows. For every 100 homes already in Alexandrina, how many new ones the council approved each year. The teal band is the range we call balanced.

Why it matters. Lots of new homes competing with the ones already here. Too much supply is the one thing that turns a strong market into a soft one, so we watch this closely. The home count is the population divided by the average household size, so treat the rate as a guide rather than a census.

Affordability · house price in years of local household income

A house in Alexandrina costs 12.0 years of a local family's income

Watch this
expensive · over 8 years stretched · 6 to 8 years affordable · under 6 years 7.7 2016 7.8 2017 7.8 2018 8.0 2019 8.4 2020 9.0 2021 9.7 2022 10.5 2023 11.5 2024 11.9 2025 12.0 2026 so far

What this shows. Take the typical house price and divide it by what a typical household here earns in a year. A bar of 7 means seven years of the whole household's income buys one house.

Why it matters. Expensive for the people who live here. Prices at this level need outside buyers to keep moving, and outside buyers are the first to leave when things wobble. Income is the 2021 Census figure carried forward at 3.5% a year, so it is an estimate, not a measurement.

Rents · typical weekly house rent, last 36 months · and how many rentals sit empty

Rent in Alexandrina is $535 a week, up 4.7% in a year

Good sign
$395 $481 $567 $535 a week now September '23March '24September '24March '25September '25March '26

$535

A week, August 2026

+4.7%

Change in the last year

1.0%

Rentals sitting empty (tight)

What this shows. What a typical house in Alexandrina rents for each week, month by month. The empty-rentals number is the share of rental homes with nobody in them: under 1.5% is tight, over 3% means tenants have plenty of choice.

Why it matters. Rents rising faster than inflation means more people want to live here than there are homes to rent. That pressure eventually shows up in prices.

Rental yield · a year of rent as a share of the price, Alexandrina vs similar councils

Rent covers 3.3% of the price each year in Alexandrina

2.6% 4.0% 5.4% 202120232025
AlexandrinaSimilar councils

What this shows. Yield is simple: a whole year of rent divided by the house price. A $500,000 house renting for $500 a week earns $26,000 a year, which is a 5.2% yield.

Why it matters. Lower than similar councils, which are around 3.7%. Prices have run ahead of rents, so you are paying more of the loan yourself while you wait for growth. We don't buy on yield alone and we never set a yield cut-off; it is one piece of the picture, next to growth.

The people

Who lives in Alexandrina.

The population has grown +2.1% a year over the last five years, which is quick by national standards. The growth is mostly people moving in from elsewhere in Australia, 1,684 of them on net over the last three years. Internal migration is the strongest kind of housing demand, because those people chose here on purpose. The median age is 53 and the median household brings in $1,143 a week (Census 2021). 77% of households own or are paying off their home. Owner-occupier markets like this tend to hold their nerve through the cycle, because nobody is forced to sell an address they live at.

Population · ABS estimates 2015 to 2025

Alexandrina is growing fast: 31,427 people, up +2.1% a year

Good sign
26,203 31,427 201520202025

31,427

People, 2025

+2.1% vs +0.9%

A year, last 5 years · typical SA council

+1.8%

A year, last 10 years

Why it matters. People arriving is the rawest form of housing demand. Every new household needs somewhere to live before anything else happens.

Where the growth came from · last 3 years

Most new residents chose Alexandrina on purpose: 1,684 moved in from elsewhere in Australia

Good sign
Births minus deaths
-356
Moved from elsewhere in Australia
+1,684
Moved from overseas
+315

Net change: +1,643 people over three years.

What this shows. Three ways a place gains or loses people: babies born minus people who died, people who moved here from another part of Australia, and people who arrived from overseas. Bars to the right add people, bars to the left take them away.

Why it matters. People who move here from another part of Australia are the strongest kind of demand. They compared it with somewhere else and picked here.

Age and households · Census 2021

Alexandrina is older than the typical SA council: median age 53 vs 45

Older
Median age 53 vs 45
People per household 2.3 vs 2.3

Alexandrina Typical SA council (middle of 63)

Why it matters. An older area leans on retirees and downsizers. Single-level homes near health services do best, and turnover tends to be lower.

Income and who owns the homes · Census 2021

Most homes in Alexandrina are owner-occupied: 77% own or are paying off, 18% rent

Owner market
Household income a week $1,143 -7% vs typical
Who lives in the homes 77% own · 18% rent

Own or paying off Renting Other

Why it matters. Owner-occupier markets hold their nerve through the cycle, because nobody is forced to sell the address they live at.

New supply

What's being approved to build.

416 dwellings were approved in FY26, 409 of them houses. Approvals have been roughly steady year to year. On the non-residential side, $40 million of building was approved in FY26, $2 million of it public money. Governments build where they expect people. Within that, $11 million of education and health buildings have been approved across the last three financial years. Schools and hospitals are the most honest signal governments give about where they expect families.

Homes approved · ABS, by financial year

A lot is being built in Alexandrina: 416 homes approved in FY26

Watch this
FY24
373
FY25
475
FY26
416

Houses Units, townhouses and other

416

Homes approved, FY26

98%

Of them houses

3.0%

New homes per 100 that exist

What this shows. How many new homes the council approved each financial year, split into houses and everything else. Approved is not built, but it is the earliest warning of supply on the way.

Why it matters. New homes compete with the ones already here. Too much supply is the one thing that turns a strong market soft, so this is the number we check first.

Non-residential building approved · ABS

Government spending on buildings in Alexandrina is rising: $2m approved in FY26

Good sign
FY24
$17m
FY25
$58m
FY26
$40m

Government projects All non-residential

$40m

All sectors, FY26

$2m

Government, FY26

$11m

Schools and health, last 3 years

What this shows. The dollar value of shops, offices, schools, hospitals and other non-home buildings approved each year. The darker bar is the government's share.

Why it matters. Governments build where they expect people. Schools and hospitals are the most honest signal they give about where families are heading. For the named projects behind these numbers, ask for the full report.

Jobs

Who's working in Alexandrina.

Work here runs on health care and social assistance (16% of jobs), ahead of construction and retail trade. 2,164 more residents are in work than five years ago (+18.6%). That is strong jobs growth, and it usually shows up in housing demand with a lag. Unemployment sits at 2.9%, comfortably under the national 4.2%.

Jobs · SALM, March 2026

2,164 more people in Alexandrina have a job than five years ago

Good sign

13,810

Residents in work

2.9% vs 4.2%

Unemployed · Australia

+18.6%

Jobs change, 5 years

Unemployment rate 2.9% vs 3.7% typical SA council

Alexandrina Australia

Why it matters. Strong jobs growth shows up in housing demand with a lag. People get the job first and buy the house a year or two later.

Who employs people here · Census 2021

Health care and social assistance is the biggest employer in Alexandrina, 16% of jobs

Advantage 5 of 10
Health care and social assistance
16%
Construction
11%
Retail trade
10%
Agriculture
8%
Education and training
8%

What this shows. The five industries that employ the most residents, as a share of all jobs. The pill is the ABS advantage score: Alexandrina sits in decile 5 of 10 nationally, where 10 is the most advantaged.

Why it matters. A spread of employers means no single closure can empty the town. That is the kind of job base that holds house prices through a downturn.

The outlook

Is Alexandrina worth buying into?

Put the drivers together and the case for Alexandrina is: a population that keeps growing, net internal migration in its favour, a job base that has expanded. None of this guarantees anything. It tells you where to look harder, which is what a report like this is for.

Free · Written by hand · One per person

This page is the public data. The full report is that written up as a document, plus the current price, rent, yield and growth on one suburb inside Alexandrina. One per person.

Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

Inside the LGA

The suburbs of Alexandrina.

Next step. See what's for sale in Goolwa on realestate.com.au or Domain. Then send me the address before you make an offer. That is the part the data cannot do.

All 49 suburbs and localities in Alexandrina

Angas Plains · Ashbourne · Belvidere · Blackfellows Creek · Bletchley · Chiton · Clayton Bay · Currency Creek · Dingabledinga · Finniss · Gemmells · Goolwa · Goolwa Beach · Goolwa North · Goolwa South · Hartley · Highland Valley · Hindmarsh Island · Hope Forest · Kuitpo · Kuitpo Colony · Kyeema · Lake Plains · Langhorne Creek · McHarg Creek · Middleton · Milang · Montarra · Mosquito Hill · Mount Compass · Mount Jagged · Mount Magnificent · Mount Observation · Mundoo Island · Nangkita · Nurragi · Pages Flat · Point Sturt · Port Elliot · Prospect Hill · Red Creek · Sandergrove · Strathalbyn · Tolderol · Tooperang · Willunga Hill · Willyaroo · Woodchester · Yundi

Free · Written by hand · One per person

Want the full workup on Alexandrina?

This page is the public data. The full report is the written workup: current price, rent, gross yield and vacancy, growth over 1, 3, 5 and 10 years, days on market and demand, and the supply coming down the pipe, for Alexandrina or any suburb in it. Same data we run for clients. I pull it and email it through, usually within a business day. One per person, no charge, and no 14-part email sequence afterwards. All I ask is that if it lands, you take the fifteen minute call at the end of it.

Name, email and phone. I write these by hand, one per person, and the conversation afterwards is the only thing the report costs.

Leave your details and I'll get in touch about it myself, by email or phone, usually within one business day. It comes from dan@buyersfirstagency.com.au, and it lands in junk more often than it should, so check there if you don't see it. You'll also go on the Market Pulse mailing list, one email a month on where the market is actually heading. Unsubscribe whenever you like, and I never pass your details to anyone else.

Keep comparing

Markets of a similar size in SA.

A council only makes sense in context. These are the SA markets closest to Alexandrina in population, each with its own written report.

General information only, not financial or investment advice. Cycle positions and projections are modelled LGA-level figures to July 2026, sourced from HtAG Analytics. Population and approvals are ABS estimates; employment is SALM smoothed data; income, age and tenure are Census 2021. None of it can see street quality, flood maps, zoning or the contract, which is where deals are actually won and lost. Get advice on your own situation before acting.

Data finds the area. It doesn't buy the house.

We narrow 15,000 suburbs to the top 5 for each client, then find the street and the property. If Alexandrina is on your list, that's a conversation worth having early.

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